Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Miami Dade Local Issues Poll, Part 2 ... by gimleteye

Some Observations, Part 2

Correction: The Channel 23/ Univision/ Miami Herald poll by Bendixen & Amandi was conducted via live telephone operator with a mixture of both landline AND cell phones, so my observation yesterday about the population skewed by land line only was inaccurate.

Regarding today's poll, "Image and Job Ratings": Kathy Fernandez Rundle and Alberto Carvalho appears to be well regarded in the community, although 30 percent of respondents don't know Rundle is the Miami Dade state attorney and by nearly the same margin, that Carvalho is the Miami Dade school superintendent.

Carvalho is the most popular public official of those polled by a substantial margin, with a 73% excellent/good favorability rating, and uniquely among those polled -- through all ethnicities. This indicates that if he chose to run as county mayor, Carvalho could be a formidable candidate.

On the question, "What do you think is the most important issue facing Miami Dade county today?", the categories 'jobs and the economy' and 'gun violence' both polled at 19%. 'Traffic congestion' was not far behind, at 14%. And our bellwether at Eye On Miami, 'climate change and sea level rise', at 5%.

However, when questioned specifically on whether sea level rise is an important issue, an astounding 84% of respondents affirmed positively. 76% of Republicans compared to 90% of Democrats and 86% of Independents. On what to do about sea level rise and whether Miami Dade is doing enough, 19% don't know and 66%, that the county is not doing enough.

On the issue of whether the county is doing enough, there is still a wide gap -- nearly 25% -- between Republicans and Democrats who believe that the county is NOT doing enough. But the 52% of Republicans who believe the county is not doing enough should permanently lay to rest the perception that Republicans do not believe in climate change.

In other words, Miami Dade Republican candidates for office can no longer afford positions against science and against climate change. Prediction: within the next generation's lifespan, 'jobs and the economy' and 'climate change and sea level rise' will become the same issue.

Taking the poll results out of sequence, some comments by EOM on FPL. 70% of respondents have a favorable opinion of the monopolistic supplier of electricity in the region: Florida Power and Light. This attests to the non-stop public relations machinery deployed by the corporate giant, especially when unfavorable news appears in the mainstream media.

That said, 65% are following to some extent the problems (the poll calls it 'questions') at Turkey Point nuclear facility. A follow up question asked to only those following the issue, "how satisfied are you with FPL's response to possible chemical threats to drinking water supplies', 56% said they were not very or not at all satisfied with the FPL response. On this response, there was a 20% margin between Spanish language and English language respondents. Perhaps Eye On Miami ought to begin a Spanish language edition.

It is interesting to note how public perceptions differ on the issue of supporting museums/sports stadiums with public tax dollars. By nearly a wide margin (57%), respondents support a privatized Beckham-led soccer stadium in Overtown and oppose the $49 million public bailout -- by the Miami Dade County Commission -- of the Frost Museum of Science (51%). The gulf on public funding versus private, between Republican and Democrat voters and between Hispanic and Anglo, was 10%.

On the issue of gun violence among youth, the visceral reaction by all respondents that Miami Dade county elected officials are not doing enough to stem the tide was very high; but Hispanics polled at 71%, Anglos at 75% and African-Americans at 89%.

69% of respondents believe that Miami Dade county leaders are not doing enough to relieve traffic congestion plaguing the region, although there is a full 11% difference between Republicans and Democrats and a 15% difference between Republicans and Independents. By the same margin, Anglos are more troubled by traffic congestion than Hispanics. Interesting.

By a margin of 22%, respondents favor expansion of mass transit over roadway expansion. Amen, to that. 18-34 age voters and Anglos appear strongly to favor the mass transit preference.

Local Issues Poll WAVE 2 by Alan Farago

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