Wednesday, June 04, 2014

Climate Change Denier Marco Rubio is Vulnerable … by gimleteye

From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling
Subject: Voters won’t elect climate denier in 2016, GOP stance hurts with independents
Date: June 3, 2014

A new Public Policy Polling survey finds that the carbon emission reduction standards announced by President Obama yesterday are popular with voters across the country, and that voters have little tolerance for a Presidential candidate in 2016 who doesn’t believe that climate change is caused by human activity. Crucial independent voters, in particular, are not sympathetic to the GOP’s climate skepticism.

Key findings from the survey include:

-Voters support the 30% reduction standard in carbon pollution from existing power plants by an 18 point margin, 53/35. Independents (59/29) are particularly strong in their support for the standards.

-Voters, and particularly independents, don’t have much tolerance for climate skeptics when it comes to the 2016 Presidential race. Only 38% of voters say they’d be willing to support a candidate who doesn’t believe global warming is caused by human activity, and by an 11 point margin they say they would be less likely to vote for such a candidate. When it comes to independents just 29% would be open to supporting a climate skeptic.

-This issue could be particularly problematic for Senator Marco Rubio given his recent comments on it. Voters say by a 56/33 margin that they have more faith in the scientists than Rubio when it comes to the issue of climate change, and among independents it’s 57/27. Rubio starts out trailing Hillary Clinton by a 49/42 spread in a hypothetical match up anyway, and when respondents were informed about Rubio’s stance on climate change it pushed Clinton’s lead up to 9 points at 50/41. That’s a wider margin than Barack Obama won either of his elections by.

The politics on this issue are pretty clear. Voters believe in man made climate change, and they support President Obama’s new initiative to help deal with it. Republicans risk putting themselves in an even deeper hole with independent voters by continuing to express their skepticism, and it has the potential to help cost them yet another Presidential election in 2016.

PPP surveyed 735 registered voters on June 2nd on behalf of Americans United for Change. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.6%

Full poll results:

PDF of Summary Results:


Anonymous said...

In a critical costal zone at-risk state like Florida, we can't afford to have him in the Senate. We need to begin the search for a woman to run against him.

Anonymous said...

Worldwide pollution would have to be cut to make any change on the environment.

Anonymous said...

Why a woman?

Anonymous said...

First of all because the majority of the state's population, the majority of the state's registered voters, and the majority of the people who vote in the state are women. It seems to reason they should have one of the seats. Why should a minority group have all of the seats?

Secondly, we will soon have our first woman President and she will be looking for support in the Senate. Smart states are already positioning themselves to be in the new President's inner circle and Florida needs to send a signal that we too are ready to move into the future, solve many of our problems, and want to be in the inner circle.

Thirdly, we are way behind where we should be on a number of very important indicators, and we need to fast tract many things and move quickly to catch up. Women are more focused on actually compromising and getting things done, rather than being unproductive wasting time on political posturing and BS.

Lastly, both Democratic and Republican women in Congress are increasingly doing the heavy lifting to make things happen in Congress for the country. In every major crisis be have faced with this Congress, it was the women who came to the country's rescue. If we can help to expand those numbers, there would be less chaos and more actual work done there.