With final precinct results now available from the Miami-Dade County Division of Elections, an analysis of the top Hispanic precincts in Miami-Dade County confirms the exit poll findings from Bendixen & Amandi International, Edison Research, Pew Hispanic Center, NBC News and Fox News that a historic percentage of Cuban voters cast ballots for a Democratic candidate for President in the 2012 elections.
The analysis was performed by examining the 48 largest Hispanic precincts across Miami-Dade County, each with a minimum of 2500 Hispanic voters. These precincts also have the highest concentration of Hispanic voters in the county (between 68% and 92%).
These precincts are located primarily in Hialeah, Westchester, Little Havana, Doral, Kendall and other predominately Cuban-American neighborhoods across Miami-Dade County.
The average of the Presidential vote in these 48 precincts is: Barack Obama 51% and Mitt Romney 49%. The B&A exit poll of Cuban Americans had the following results: Mitt Romney 52% and Barack Obama 48%.
It should be noted that voters of Cuban origin account for approximately 75% of the Hispanic electorate in Miami-Dade County.
Bendixen & Amandi International conducted a statewide exit poll of more than 4800 Hispanic voters which revealed that President Obama secured 48% of the Cuban American vote in the state of Florida – an historic high for a Democratic Presidential candidate in Florida.
So why is this earth-shattering? The analysis confirms that the political status quo, organized around Cuban American Republicans, has finally collapsed under its own weight. This has enormous implications for both political parties, but especially for the political lobbyists who run campaigns.
If you are a candidate for office in Miami Dade, you no longer need to ingratiate yourself to the status quo: the campaign funding machinery leveraged through the Latin Builders Association and other entities/ cartels controlled by the Cuban American business elite. "The Castro Card"? It's finished!
Probably the best example of this, is the near win by Ross Hancock against Erik Fresen for state legislature. Hancock, vastly outspent by Fresen (who was funded by pro-gambling, sugar, and other interests) came within a few percentage points of winning.
What the new demographics of the election also throw into doubt: the political future of Marco Rubio. Rubio is weighted by history and by alliances with Bush/ GOP machinery that faltered badly in the recent election. It is not just a matter of immigration: the non-Cuban Hispanic demographic is socially liberal in ways that act as an anti-magnetic force to conservative values like the obsessive focus on women's right-to-choose.
The obsessive character of the radical GOP right will continue to repel non-Cuban and younger Cuban American Hispanics.
Finally, a rumor arrives that Ana Sol Alliegro, the self-proclaimed political "bad girl" of the GOP -- and the woman who can tie David Rivera and Marco Rubio together -- has fled to Australia, until the feds drop their investigation. Maybe she's hanging with Joe Gersten and his support group. It could be a long wait. Any tips, welcome.