tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37248244.post8171628015282733115..comments2024-03-08T05:08:55.233-05:00Comments on EYE ON MIAMI: Winner: New York Times FiveThirtyEight Blog and Nate Silver ... by gimleteyeGeniusofdespairhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01105559930040615945noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37248244.post-60882232567836365502012-11-08T17:14:43.391-05:002012-11-08T17:14:43.391-05:00Pleeeeease stop referring to what Mr. Silver does ...Pleeeeease stop referring to what Mr. Silver does as "predictions".<br /><br />They are NOT predictions. They are probabilities. Mr. Silver is not "right" because Obama won. He would not have been "wrong" had Romney won.<br />The probability of a truly random die rolling a 3 is 1/6 or about 17%. However, that probability is not "wrong" when the die Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37248244.post-62943275640125557782012-11-08T10:15:57.961-05:002012-11-08T10:15:57.961-05:00All very reasonable questions. All very reasonable questions. Gimleteyehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05730237496093952571noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37248244.post-59874015684232953242012-11-08T07:38:32.358-05:002012-11-08T07:38:32.358-05:00Was the Miami Herald's choice of hiring Mason-...Was the Miami Herald's choice of hiring Mason-Dixon polling a mistake or a strategy? Was the decision to put up a front page story on the (skewed) results predicting a Romney landslide a mistake or a strategy? Was the fact the story didn't even mention the existence of more than a dozen contradictory polls a mistake or a strategy? Is the fact that even today the Miami Heralds editorial Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com