Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Lynda Bell: Odd Absentee Numbers in 2010. By Geniusofdespair

I took a look back at all Lynda Bell's Absentees in 2010 in her race against Eugene Flinn for Katy Sorenson's seat.  Bell for a time was using David Rivera's office.  David is known for his sleazy campaigning and connections to Absentee Ballot Queen Sasha Tirador.  They even live close to each other.

Bell and Rivera shared some districts in their races.  I was told Rivera was helping her with absentees.  In Districts 745 and 747, which they both ran in, I found something interesting. Lynda had high absentee votes.  In Districts  745 and 747 her election day numbers were incredibly close with her absentee numbers.  That was not the case in over 95 other districts. For example in district 821 she got 408 votes on election day and 133 absentees. That was more the norm on her absentees. She appeared to have jumps in the same districts she shared with Rivera. He coincidentally had similar number jumps for absentees.

In district 745 Lynda Bell had 130 absentees to 149 votes election day. Very close.
In district 745 David Rivera had 126 absentees to 129 votes election day.
In district 747 Lynda Bell had 219 absentees to 238 election day.
In district 747 David Rivera had 223 absentees to 214 on election day.

Bell also shows a smaller spike in 788. She had 191 on election day and 111 absentee.

(In the primary with Flinn, Bell  had no triple digit absentees and in district 745 she had 19 absentees and in 747 she had 50 absentees).

The runoff spikes were for both candidates, Rivera and Bell, in absentees over other forms of voting. In Bell's case most of her absentees in all other precincts ran about 1/2  to 1/4 of her election day numbers, her absentees were pretty close to her early voting numbers. She had almost 100 precincts, so I would say these spikes I have identified are most notable. Remember Lynda Bell won by a slim margin and it was on absentees. Bell and Flynn were only 362 votes apart. Rivera had big spikes in absentees in 773 and 775 as well (Lynda did not share these districts with him).

Looking at races by precincts gives a lot more information so you can pick up spikes in absentees. When you run your race in 100 or more precincts and only a few have large numbers of absentees, you can figure out that this is where the fraud might be centered and you can bet your boots there are ALF's involved.

14 comments:

Anonymous said...

There is a precinct that includes her church on SW 288 St which also covers a large portion of Leisure City which you would not think would have high voter turnout. She won by a landslide there AND that precinct had one of the highest voter turnouts and the MOST votes cast of any other precinct. Go figure....

Anonymous said...

Lynda Bell has a huge issue she is dealing with now

One of her key staff members is under investigation by several agencies for fraud and fall allegations.

Anonymous said...

And the tie that binds the two here: Jose Luis Castillo. One can only he that he's so busy with Juan Zapata that he neglects his Palmetto Bay slate.

Anonymous said...

Rivera was actually seen meeting with Bell followers in Homestead during her election for county commission at Mario’s restaurant.

Anonymous said...

Bells consultant Luis Castillo is very well known for sending runners to unsuspecting seniors’ homes and helping them fill out their absentee ballots. He and his wife (Who worked for both Bell and Rivera) prided themselves with this tactic.

Volker said...

I heard that Jose Luis Castillo worked on the Dennis Moss campaign - I wonder how Moss did on absentee ballots this time.

Anonymous said...

Too bad we can't over turn the 2010 election of Bell! I guess we'll get a re due in 2014, and can only hope people have been prosecuted by them for AB fraud. This has just got to stop. I've never felt more like I wasted time voting than I do in Miami Dade.

Anonymous said...

Like it on not, Bell is our commissioner. I voted for her, and will do so again ...

She is a great commissioner, but she has to revamp her office and change some of the junk she brought in with her, since they are becoming a political liability to her NOW.

Commissioner Bell, HELP US HELP YOU!!!

Anonymous said...

I agree with the above anon who said help us help you.

If no change is made to her staff, she will have a serious problem being re-elected, when the "Shit hits the fan"

Ms. Bell, you did not cause the problem, therefore do not inherit it!!!!

And I also say "HELP US HELP YOU"

Geniusofdespair said...

You can hire a ballot broker to fill in many bubbles. They can work for multiple candidates and rake in a lot of money.

Absentee ballot skeptic said...

When I reviewed the ballots, you could tell there was a broker on the top 2 races... I think it was Scott and Rubio, I would have to look for my notes and see if I noted it... Ballot after ballot had the same 2 names bubbled in with the rest all empty.

Anonymous said...

Lynda please help Joe Martinez and Pedro Garcia since these are your friends and they admire you. If you do not help them you are no friend. SHow them how to win by absentee and from what I hear you did. THe problem they had was Mr. Gimenez and Mr. Cantera are more honest and citizens respect them.

Anonymous said...

I do not know which staff you are talking about?

One of her key staff is Johanna Faddis. I heard the manager she worked with talking about her recently, and he thinks she is the best employee he ever worked with.

He knows she is under huge pressure to claim some falls allegations, but that is not her.

Anonymous said...

Genius:
You did a great job of analyzing the absentee voters in Rivera and Bell elections. If I were them this would make me feel uneasy. This comparison is to close and opens the way for a possible federal investigation. If I were them I would sleep restless. Guy and gal I would look for an attorney or will the taxpayer have to pay for this. Shame!